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Win probability

also: WP · win expectancy

The home team's chance of winning after each plate appearance, as ESPN computes it, from 2019.

It moves with the score, the inning, the outs and the runners. The swings show which plate appearances decided a game, and summed over a season they show who came through when it mattered.

get_plate_appearances carries it after every plate appearance from 2019, and get_game the game's range.

The common mistake

It is ESPN's model, not ours, and it knows the situation, not who is batting or pitching.

Where to get it

Related

Win probability from the API

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