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Reference

MLB analytics glossary

Every metric this API returns, with the formula, what it is for, and the specific way people get it wrong. Written from how these are actually computed here, not paraphrased.

RE24
run value · run expectancy added · RE24 run value

The runs a plate appearance added or cost: the change in run expectancy for the base-out state, plus any runs that scored.

Run expectancy
RE · run expectancy matrix · RE24 matrix

The average number of runs a team scores from a given base-out state to the end of the inning.

Base-out state
base-out situation · 24 base-out states

The number of outs and which bases are occupied: the situation a plate appearance starts in.

OPS
on-base plus slugging · OBP · SLG · slugging percentage · on-base percentage

On-base percentage plus slugging percentage: how often a hitter reaches and how much damage the hits do, in one number.

Strikeout rate
K% · strikeout percentage · BB% · walk rate

Strikeouts as a share of plate appearances; walk rate is the same for walks.

Whiff rate
swinging strike rate per swing · whiff %

Swinging strikes as a share of swings: how often a pitch makes hitters miss when they go after it.

Pitch mix
arsenal · pitch usage

What a pitcher throws and how often: each pitch type's share, velocity and results.

Spray chart
batted ball location · hit location

Where a hitter's balls in play go, as points on the field, with their trajectory.

Batted ball trajectory
ground ball rate · fly ball rate · line drive rate

Whether a ball in play was a ground ball, a line drive, a fly ball or a pop-up.

Pythagorean record
Pythagorean expectation · expected win percentage

The win percentage a team's runs scored and allowed predict, which says how much of its record was luck in close games.

Elo rating
Elo · team rating · power rating

Our running team strength number: up after a win, down after a loss, by more when the result was a surprise.

Win probability
WP · win expectancy

The home team's chance of winning after each plate appearance, as ESPN computes it, from 2019.

Implied probability
implied odds · break-even probability

The win chance a moneyline implies, with the book's margin still in it.

Closing line
closing price · CLV · closing line value

A sportsbook's last price before first pitch, the market's final word on the game.

Line movement
line moves · steam

How a game's price changed between opening and first pitch.

Run line
runline · -1.5 · baseball spread

Baseball's point spread: almost always a run and a half, with the price doing the work.